Flipping through field notebooks…
AbstractPredicting long‐term trends in forest growth requires accurate characterisation of how the relationship between forest productivity and climatic stress varies across climatic regimes. Using a network of over two million tree‐ring observations spanning North America and a space‐for‐time substitution methodology, we forecast climate impacts on future forest growth. We explored differing scenarios of increased water‐use efficiency (WUE) due to CO2‐fertilisation, which we simulated as increased effective precipitation. In our forecasts: (1) climate change negatively impacted forest growth rates in the interior west and positively impacted forest growth along the western, southeastern and northeastern coasts; (2) shifting climate sensitivities offset positive effects of warming on high‐latitude forests, leaving no evidence for continued ‘boreal greening’; and (3) it took a 72% WUE enhancement to compensate for continentally averaged growth declines under RCP 8.5. Our results highlight the importance of locally adapted forest management strategies to handle regional differences in growth responses to climate change.
Knowledge graph centered on Observed forest sensitivity to climate implies lar with 22 nodes and 173 connections. Top connected: Spruce, photosynthetic rate, Pinus ponderosa, Brian J. Enquist, Pseudotsuga.
Items connected by shared entities, co-authorship, citations, or semantic similarity.
56 references to works outside the Knowledge Commons